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A New Way of Looking at the Risk in Defined Benefit Pension Plans

The portability feature of a defined contribution (DC) pension greatly reduces the risk to the accumulation of pension wealth. Conversely, defined benefit (DB) pensions have a variety of default risks that decrease the expected value of DB pension wealth. This paper examines those risks. Accrual of DB pension wealth is characterized in terms of purchases of risky bonds. Changing jobs triggers default on these bonds. Simulations are presented to show the potential loss in pension wealth from default. In addition, a methodology used to price corporate bonds is applied to generate estimates of the implied risk premia of DB pension bonds over comparable riskless bonds.

Published Articles
Defined Contribution Pension Plans in the Public Sector:
A Best Practice Benchmark Analysis

Roderick B. Crane, J.D.
TIAA-CREF
Michael Heller FSA, MAAA, EA
TIAA-CREF
Paul Yakoboski, Ph.D.
TIAA-CREF Institute


April 2008
 
Designing Public-Sector Pensions for the 21st Century
Roderick B. Crane, J.D.
Director, Institutional Client Relations, Public Sector Market, TIAA-CREF
Michael Heller FSA, MAAA, EA
Vice President, Actuarial Consulting Services, TIAA-CREF
Paul Yakoboski, Ph.D.
Principal Research Fellow, TIAA-CREF Institute
May 2007
 
The Retiree Health Care Challenge
Prepared by Hewitt Associates
November 2006
 
Retirement Plans and Retirement Confidence in Higher Education
Paul Yakoboski, TIAA-CREF Institute
EBRI Notes
Vol. 27, No. 3
March 2006
 
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